Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 46.766614 53.646751 60.796724 68.750326 77.319699 86.245521 96.216298
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 35.669459 45.215506 55.714030 67.984805 81.806642 96.777267 114.102580
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.826403 39.592894 51.966175 66.962960 84.388368 103.762327 126.700649
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.316258 35.921237 49.786261 67.113784 87.761951 111.196751 139.432331
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.795442 32.939080 47.982977 67.306978 90.844128 118.027102 151.256121
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.130725 30.690560 46.782668 67.967418 94.267613 125.095225 163.238293
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.298284 27.866423 44.563200 67.111982 95.650056 129.595249 172.093640
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.645572 26.476851 44.050076 68.279408 99.416160 136.877669 184.204317
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.326772 25.410465 43.847742 69.752068 103.497174 144.505584 196.720958
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.474985 23.313502 42.053904 68.984859 104.630760 148.452472 204.750975
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.567511 20.872822 39.573757 67.125208 104.223317 150.391330 210.260711
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.097917 20.760757 40.436094 69.810398 109.719443 159.699945 224.823282
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.391280 20.173255 40.569928 71.499894 113.961505 167.524880 237.696857
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.153429 18.456220 38.869443 70.518128 114.600425 170.764738 244.891456
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.076883 16.859756 37.221429 69.500709 115.105860 173.773377 251.755760
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.355712 15.849109 36.422548 69.651045 117.148852 178.730193 261.053640
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.730482 14.927995 35.694412 69.849313 119.220327 183.705140 270.372620
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.251793 14.245995 35.311344 70.525018 121.929385 189.503152 280.743024
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.621369 13.055955 33.956518 69.649705 122.420767 192.363954 287.358854
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.325593 12.653648 33.958213 70.844249 125.818537 199.057402 298.891386
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.094782 12.379519 34.167287 72.350868 129.659751 206.350079 311.218082
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.657419 11.382270 32.962149 71.566002 130.186628 209.211592 317.830679
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.196590 10.111705 31.117685 69.663237 129.030774 209.770968 321.429463